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สาส์นจากนายกสมาคม TRA PRESIDENT VIEW
 
   PRESIDENT VIEW
   Natural Rubber Situation in 2024
The global economy tends to slow down due to the effects of high inflation and interest rates. There are also strengthening of the US Dollar issues and geopolitical conflicts (Geopolitical Tension). For example, the war between Israel and Palestine may expand, and the Russian-Ukrainian war may intensify. Furthermore, the US-China economic polarization (Decoupling), in which the US and its allies reduce their reliance on trade with China and rely more on its group. Moreover, China's economy is slowing down due to structural problems. As a result, it may affect the global supply chain and Thai product exports. Besides, drought problems may be more severe than expected, resulting in a severe slowdown in agricultural production. The World Trade Organization (WTO) has estimated that the world real GDP growth rate will be 2.6% in 2023 and 2.5% in 2024. As for Thailand's economy in 2024, the export is expected to recover from the trend of global trade expansion and supply chain issues easing.

The rubber situation in 2024 is expected to slow down due to factors related to the global economy and the Chinese economy, which tend to grow at a slower rate, pressuring rubber prices to decline. The Association of Natural Rubber Producing Countries (ANRPC) projects the world's natural rubber production in 2023 at 15.15 million tons (up 3.5% from 2022), with Thailand being the world's largest NR producer, followed by Indonesia, Cote d'Ivoire, Vietnam, and India, respectively. As for the world's natural rubber demand, it is 15.44 million tons (down 0.5% from 2022), with China consuming the most natural rubber worldwide, followed by Thailand, India, EU-27& UK, and Indonesia, respectively. Thailand has faced the risk of more frequent and severe climate change. Furthermore, Thai entrepreneurs have faced the challenge of adapting to more strict climate change regulations around the world, including the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and the EU Regulation on Deforestation-Free Products, which will come into effect in early 2025, covering 7 product groups: cocoa, coffee, soybeans, rubber, oil palm, cattle, and wood.

In conclusion, the Thai Rubber Association (TRA) strongly believes in long-lasting relationships and cooperations with the concerned sectors, i.e., government agencies, the private sector, rubber farmers, as well as the three largest natural rubber producers, namely Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, and other rubber-producing countries in ASEAN, to provide strategic direction and solutions to falling prices in the short-term and long-term and prepare to deal with various trade regulations for the sustainability of natural rubber.

On the occasion of the New Year 2024, I extend to you and your family our warmest greetings and wish you a happy New Year, great success in your career, happiness in your family, and perfect health and lasting prosperity.

Mr. Chaiyos Sincharoenkul
President
The Thai Rubber Association

Monthly of   January  2024     
     
  history  
 
[   January  2019 ]
icon Chinese Market

Thailand has had a long-term relationship with China in terms of trade, investment and tourism; especially Thai exports of natural rubber (NR) to China which have continually expanded. China is the world’s biggest NR consumer and tire producer. It is an important market which indicates NR demand each year. Economic outlook of...

     [ Read more...]  

[   December  2018 ]
icon Rubber scenario in 2019

Rubber scenario in 2019 is expected to slow down in line with global economic growth. IMF projected that world economy is likely to grow at the same rate of 3.7% as compared to 2018, mainly affected by trade war between China and the US. Chinese economy is expected to grow at 6.2%, with slowdown being caused by internal restructuring, debt reducti...

     [ Read more...]  

[   November  2018 ]
icon Big Data for Natural Rubber

At present, it is inevitable to ignore that digital technology plays a significant role in the development of the country. Many of us would be familiar with the terms ‘Thailand 4.0’, ‘digital economy’ or ‘Digital Thailand’. Over the past few months, organizations such as the Office of Agricultura...

     [ Read more...]  

[   October  2018 ]
icon Rubber market outlook of ASEAN Rubber Business Council

The Thai Rubber Association (TRA) plays an important role in ASEAN rubber trade. We assume the chairmanship and are a member of ASEAN Rubber Business Council (ARBC), including member associations from 6 countries namely Cambodia, Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Thailand and Vietnam. ARBC convenes meetings regularly. Recently, Mr. Supadetch Ongsaku...

     [ Read more...]  

[   September  2018 ]
icon Sustainable Natural Rubber

Natural rubber is an industrial raw material of strategic importance. It is a significant agricultural crop and economic forestry crop, being utilized in various forms throughout the life cycle and the industry chain, i.e. as agricultural product, timber, industrial product and financial derivatives. It plays an important role in the impr...

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