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สาส์นจากนายกสมาคม TRA PRESIDENT VIEW
   Natural Rubber Situation in 2024
The global economy tends to slow down due to the effects of high inflation and interest rates. There are also strengthening of the US Dollar issues and geopolitical conflicts (Geopolitical Tension). For example, the war between Israel and Palestine may expand, and the Russian-Ukrainian war may intensify. Furthermore, the US-China economic polarization (Decoupling), in which the US and its allies reduce their reliance on trade with China and rely more on its group. Moreover, China's economy is slowing down due to structural problems. As a result, it may affect the global supply chain and Thai product exports. Besides, drought problems may be more severe than expected, resulting in a severe slowdown in agricultural production. The World Trade Organization (WTO) has estimated that the world real GDP growth rate will be 2.6% in 2023 and 2.5% in 2024. As for Thailand's economy in 2024, the export is expected to recover from the trend of global trade expansion and supply chain issues easing.

The rubber situation in 2024 is expected to slow down due to factors related to the global economy and the Chinese economy, which tend to grow at a slower rate, pressuring rubber prices to decline. The Association of Natural Rubber Producing Countries (ANRPC) projects the world's natural rubber production in 2023 at 15.15 million tons (up 3.5% from 2022), with Thailand being the world's largest NR producer, followed by Indonesia, Cote d'Ivoire, Vietnam, and India, respectively. As for the world's natural rubber demand, it is 15.44 million tons (down 0.5% from 2022), with China consuming the most natural rubber worldwide, followed by Thailand, India, EU-27& UK, and Indonesia, respectively. Thailand has faced the risk of more frequent and severe climate change. Furthermore, Thai entrepreneurs have faced the challenge of adapting to more strict climate change regulations around the world, including the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) and the EU Regulation on Deforestation-Free Products, which will come into effect in early 2025, covering 7 product groups: cocoa, coffee, soybeans, rubber, oil palm, cattle, and wood.

In conclusion, the Thai Rubber Association (TRA) strongly believes in long-lasting relationships and cooperations with the concerned sectors, i.e., government agencies, the private sector, rubber farmers, as well as the three largest natural rubber producers, namely Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, and other rubber-producing countries in ASEAN, to provide strategic direction and solutions to falling prices in the short-term and long-term and prepare to deal with various trade regulations for the sustainability of natural rubber.

On the occasion of the New Year 2024, I extend to you and your family our warmest greetings and wish you a happy New Year, great success in your career, happiness in your family, and perfect health and lasting prosperity.

Mr. Chaiyos Sincharoenkul
The Thai Rubber Association

Monthly of   January  2024     
[   March  2020 ]
icon Retrospection and Prospection
The current committee of the Thai Rubber Association has been in the operation since 2018. The operation of the committee is based upon the following principles: 1) to operate on the principle of transparency and good governance; 2) to corporate with government agencies and private sector both at local and international level; 3) to cherish a close relationship with other rubber producing countries, particularly in Asia; 4) to act as a central body between r...
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[   February  2020 ]
icon The New Pestalotiopsis Leaf Disease Situation
The New Pestalotiopsis leaf disease began in 2016 in Indonesia, Malaysia, India, Sri Lanka, and Thailand. The disease had damaged 388,800 hectares of rubber trees in Indonesia, 122,530 hectares in Thailand, and 10,000 hectares in Malaysia. According to the Association of Natural Rubber Producing Countries (ANRPC), in 2019, they forecasted that the disease made the rubber output dropped 329,000 tons in Indonesia and 121,000 tons in Thailand. Thailand has repo...
     [ Read more...]  

[   January  2020 ]
icon Chinese Market
China-Thai relations have been good for decades in various aspects: trade, investment, and tourism. Especially, the natural rubber exports from Thailand to China continually expand. China is by far the largest consumer of natural rubber worldwide and most world tire production, so China's market is an important market to show a market sign of natural rubber demand each year. China’s economic direction is one of the factors which directly affect natural rub...
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[   December  2019 ]
icon Rubber Scenario in 2020
In 2020, the global economy tends to grow more positively as compared to 2019. International Monetary Fund (IMF) has projected the global economic growth rate as 3.4% in 2020. Meanwhile, Thai Government has rolled out the economic stimulus measures to establish economic strengths both in domestic and foreign countries. One of the most important measures is the investment in the Eastern Economic Corridor (EEC), which needs clarity as well as a continuati...
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[   November  2019 ]
icon The Fundamental Factors of Rubber Market
Thailand’s rubber market begins when farmers harvest latex, ribbed smoked sheet (RSS), cup lump rubber, and smoked sheet cutting. Then, these yields are sold through small, middle, large middleman or rubber cooperative to sell raw materials to the upstream rubber factories, such as latex factory, RSS factory, STR factory, rubber compound factory, mixtures rubber factory, etc. After that, it is distributed to domestic rubber-based products manufacturers and...
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